Bang for your Buck: Investing in cards for M14 – Rakdos and Dimir
Disclaimer: I can not be held responsible for any poor decisions I make in regards to any cards you might buy in response to my article. I’m going to post my thoughts and plead my case for each card I recommend, and if you agree then by all means head out to your local gaming store or buy cards online and try to snap up some good deals. I’m basing my information off of months of standard gaming experience as well as prices in my area and how they’ve reacted to the ever changing metagame. I can only hope that the decisions I make are good ones and that my gamble pays off after buying the featured cards.
Bang for your Buck is going to be a little different this time. With the set rotation coming up at the end of September, the WHOLE Innistrad Block (Innistrad, Dark Ascension, Avacyn Restored) and M13 will no longer be standard playable. Therefore it’s kind of pointless to talk about those sets in this article. Of course some cards will maintain their value due to play in other formats (Take Griselbrand from AVR for example), but for the most part the prices are going to bomb. Today I’ll be focusing mainly on the Ravnica block sets (Return to Ravnica, Gatecrash, Dragon’s Maze). I will be covering the sets rotating out in less than 3 months in the series or articles following this one called “A Whole New World: MTG Post Rotation”. Those articles will be going up at the start of August and will cover what to invest in before the cards become hard to get. With all of that cleared up now, let’s take a look at the cards I think will be a good investment for the M14 metagame.
Previous Rakdos, Dimir, and Blue suggestions
- Clone – I thought he’d see more play in blue/bant decks, but he hasn’t been played at all. His value is unchanged from last time at $.50. Misfire.
- Omniscience – I said to keep an eye on it cause it might go up, but it’s held its value at $7. There are places in Nagoya selling it at more than that, so I think that value might change in the future just before rotation.
- Tamiyo, the Moon Sage – She’s dropped in value a little bit because she’ll be out of standard in less than two months, but she’s still strong and I see her every once in a while in a control player’s sideboard. I thought that would help the price, but it’s all going to go down hill from here on out.
- Jace, Architect of Thought – Jace’s price had bottomed out during Dragon’s Maze and it’s finally started to inch its way up. At $12.25, I can say I was correct in recommending him last time since he’s seen about a $2 increase in value.
- Dreadbore – I think I was a little bit early in saying that Dreadbore is going to go up in value. The new Planeswalker/Legend rule JUST started, so it hasn’t been abused yet. When it does, this card will go up. However, it lost some value to settle at $3 currently.
- Falkenrath Aristocrat – I thought it would hold it’s value (more than Huntamster at least), but it’s gone down in value too. Bad call on my part.
Dimir hasn’t seen much play lately since many people have switched from UBW control to UWR control. Because of this, most of their cards haven’t seen too much activity and I don’t think their cards will gain that much in value any time soon. This means that you can get some GREAT deals on Dimir cards now.
The Seer used to be $15, and now it’s only $3. Is it that much of an enigma to players? Can it just not be built around? I don’t think so. I think it will eventually see play and it’s value will go up. Buy a play set right now for $12 while you can get it cheap. It still has another year + of play, and I think it will see play before 2014. I’d also like to see Lazav, Dimir Mastermind ($1.75) see some play in the future, and with better black removal like Doom Blade, he might see play again. There are some mighty nasty creatures in the format now, and making him a hexproof version of a Kalonian Hydra or an Angel of Thune would be pretty cool. It will take some play testing, but I could see him in future formats. Just don’t bet on his value increasing anytime soon.
Notion Thief ($1) is another severely underplayed card. Again, we probably have the super fast blitz format of aggro decks to thank for control cards getting zero play, but I think that will change after rotation. Why do I say this? Well, taking a look at the Slivers standard deck gives me an idea of what aggro will look like past rotation. A little slower, but still powerful. With a slower game we might see more control decks, more midrange, and in that environment, Notion Thief can do well. Sphinx’s Revelation is going to be a major player until the fall of 2014, so he might see some sideboard play. Pick him up at this bargain now.
Another card from Dragon’s Maze, AEtherling, should continue seeing play in control decks as their win condition. It’s an absolutely nasty card to deal with and the only way to effectively deal with it after it hits the battlefield is to gain 8 life each turn if you can (or a Pithing Needle). It’s going for $4.75 now, and I don’t think the value will change that much, but it could see a slight increase before Theros is released.
I said Dreadbore would go up in price, but I think that $3 is a good value for it right now. I don’t think that price will change that much from now on. Rakdos’s Return ($5.25) is another card that I think will see some sideboard play, but I wouldn’t expect it to go above $6 any time soon.
Exava has seen absolutely zero play, but what I’ve noticed from M14 (aside from the lower power level) is that there are a lot of counters going around. Archangel of Thune, Kalonlian Hydra, Vastwood Hydra, etc. I don’t think anybody will capitalize on it now, but she could see some more play in the future and she’s only $1 a piece now. Buy at your own risk, but I think this is a good investment just for fun. I realistically don’t see her going up in value anytime soon.
Sire of Insanity ($1.75) is another card that saw a lot of play right after Dragon’s Maze was released, but when people stopped using control decks he lost his usefulness. There is a good change that we’ll have a metagame with a lot of control in the future, so it might be a good idea to find these guys cheap if you can.
Coming up Next
That’s it for today’s recommendations. Not a lot of cards that will go up in value, but there are tons of great deals in Rakdos and Dimir now if these colors are your thing. If you think there is a card I missed, let me know why you think it will go up! The next article SHOULD be the last one, covering the Izzet, Gruul, and Red cards in the current sets. There are lots of powerful cards in those sets (Mizzium Mortars for example), so it should make for an interesting article. Thanks for reading, and feedback is always welcome! Look for the next article before the weekend.